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Polar Bear Fallout
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BEAR TROUBLESome critics argue that offering polar bears federal protection under the Endangered Species Act may have a down side.USFWS

Will polar bear protection mean ever-higher energy costs? That was the verbatim tease that the American Enterprise Institute offered in an email inviting me to a panel discussion yesterday afternoon. Only it turned out to be a clear case of bait-and-switch.

The panelists – Jonathan Adler of Case Western Reserve School of Law and Bryan Arroyo, who directs the endangered-species program at the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service – made only fleeting reference to the subject of costs. No numbers were offered. So I pointedly asked (during the Q&A) what the financial fallout might be from listing the bear under the Endangered Species Act, or ESA, last month. Both speakers artfully ducked the question, basically conceding they didn’t know.

That doesn’t mean the event was a bust. I did learn where fights will likely break out in the next few months to years between industry, environmental advocates, and the feds as regulations are developed, and litigated, over how to conserve declining numbers of charismatic Arctic megafauna – most notably, our polar bears.

Yesterday’s forum was hosted by a conservative think tank. Adler is one of their darlings. The AEI moderator and Adler both acknowledged that the federal government had no choice but to list polar bears, last month, as threatened with extinction, based on the best available science. Adler argued, however, that the “best available science” wasn’t very good and that listing the bears under ESA “won’t help polar bears much in the wild.”

Why wouldn’t offering protection for bears that are declining in number, and whose habitat (Arctic sea ice) is rapidly disappearing, be a good thing? If I understood Adler correctly, he argued that climate was not going to reverse itself because we listed the bear, so the species’ populations might disappear anyway. Yet drilling for oil in the Alaskan Arctic could be severely restricted, under the law – needlessly.

In fact, Adler found the polar bear’s listing as pointless, albeit required by law. The problem, he charged, is that the law is flawed. Likening ESA to a pit bull, he said it’s short “and has a hell of a lot of teeth.” Moreover, he added, “like a pit bull, once it’s unleashed, it’s hard to control.” It can even “force actions that are not in the interest of species protection.”

For instance?

Well, Adler’s example (which he referred to several times) is that sport hunters who legally kill polar bears in Canada would not be allowed to bring their trophy carcasses because of U.S. prohibitions on the importation of any animals (or parts of animals) listed under ESA. That would be bad, he implied, because Canada collects some bear-conservation funds from sport hunters. The species might therefore suffer from reduced conservation budgets normally financed at least in part by killing the species. Maybe I’m missing something here, but that hardly sounds like a compelling argument not to offer bears federal protection under ESA.

Perhaps the most pivotal issue triggered by the bear’s listing, both speakers said, will be how to interpret and enforce Section 7 of the law. Without wading into too much detail, it requires that once a species is listed under ESA, all government agencies that authorize, regulate, or manage activities that might affect the species (or its critical habitat) must consult with Arroyo’s office to receive a ruling on whether those activities might harm the species. If they would, those activities are prohibited.

Adler argued that this offers any organization that wants to stall activities (which would principally be oil exploration and drilling) a means to challenge them. The critic simply has to claim Section 7 consultations were needed and not carried out or that they had been conducted but that the rulings by Arroyo’s office were inappropriate.

Concluded Adler: “The reality is that he (Arroyo) is going to get . . . a lot of litigation. And a lot of projects will be delayed.” At the same time, he predicted, the numbers of consultations that must take place will skyrocket as agencies consider issues such as whether to grant oil and gas leases in the Arctic or whether to permit an incidental killing of a polar bear by ships and others working in the Arctic. And this, Adler maintains, will divert F&WS funds from saving animals to defending agency decisions that become the subject of lawsuits.

Arroyo’s responded to Adler’s assessments of likely repercussions of the polar bear’s ESA listing by saying “I don’t think we disagree on a whole lot.”


Found in: Biology, Climate Change, Environment and Science & Society
Comments 4
  • Shouldn't environmentalists be wary of taking their religion into court? Remember what happened to "An Inconvenient Truth" in a British court last year.
    ART DAY ART DAY
    Jun. 15, 2008 at 6:01pm
  • Cryosphere has recent sea ice data for the Beaufort Sea at http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/recent365.anom.region.11.html which shows average ice cover during the winter, anomalously low ice recently, but similar to what there was last year. Whether the ice is in places that the bears need is unclear. . http://www.usgs.gov/newsroom/special/polar_bears/ has several papers, the first mentions some of the air and water circulation patterns involved, others have some population studies that do show stress on the population but also say population is not declining yet, though it may in the near future. All I read seem to report significant uncertainties exist, so it may be difficult to say anything with great confidence. . We really need a few more years of data - Some people say an influx of Atlantic water a few years ago was the impetus behind much of the recent melting. With the Pacific Decadal Oscillation in a cold phase ending 30 years of warm phase and the Sun still stuck in a minimum, both those may lead to significant cooling. . Polar Bears evolved only 200-100 thousand years ago, and their teeth structure has changed in just the last 10 thousand. They survived the Medieval Warm Period and others, they may be among the animals best suited to adapting to whatever climate change is happening now.
    Ric Werme Ric Werme
    Jun. 11, 2008 at 11:39pm
  • One estimate we got earlier this week from from an Alaskan region where summer sea ice is shrinking rapidly -- the Beaufort Sea -- was that there had fairly recently been perhaps 2,200 bears there. Now there are around 1,500 (with some evidence of drownings, cub abandonments, and cannibalism -- all signs of a population under stress). Here, temperature, per se, may not be the direct threat to the bears so much as the loss of sea ice (which is, of course, an indirect effect of rising local sea/air temperatures).
    Janet Raloff Janet Raloff
    Jun. 11, 2008 at 4:22pm
  • [Apologies - SN's posting software doesn't like something, either links, paragraph breaks, or blank lines. I'm trying to post without the last.]
    The article says "Why wouldn’t offering protection for bears that are declining in number, and whose habitat (Arctic sea ice) is rapidly disappearing, be a good thing?"
    The only numbers I've seen say something like this excerpt from http://www.ncpa.org/pub/ba/ba551/ :
    -----
    Interestingly, the World Wildlife Fund (WWF), an international organization that has worked for 50 years to protect endangered species, has also written on the threats posed to polar bears from global warming. However, their own research seems to undermine their fears. According to the WWF, about 20 distinct polar bear populations exist, accounting for approximately 22,000 polar bears worldwide. As the figure shows, population patterns do not show a temperature-linked decline:
    * Only two of the distinct population groups, accounting for about 16.4 percent of the total population, are decreasing.
    * Ten populations, approximately 45.4 percent of the total number, are stable.
    * Another two populations — about 13.6 percent of the total number of polar bears — are increasing.
    The status of the remaining six populations (whether they are stable, increasing or decreasing in size) is unknown.
    -----
    Northern Hemisphere sea ice is similar to last year, see
    http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/current.365.jpg
    While lower than long term averages, the wind and water currents responsible for last year's decline are changing, so I would be very nervous about reporting that ice cover is declining, especially after the recovery last winter.
    I think that one of the declining groups is on the western edge of Hudson's Bay, the southern extent of the polar bear's range, where hunting allocation was raised a few years ago. That has been reduced this year. Different classes of permits bring a different probabilities of a kill, with permits issued to Nunavut natives being good until kill and those issued to visitors being time limited. (Caveat - I didn't check that information today, so I may be off on a detail or so.)
    See also:
    http://scitech.blogs.cnn.com/2008/05/15/contentious-fact-in-polar-debate-bears-scrutiny/
    http://www.icenews.is/index.php/2008/06/04/polar-bear-killed-in-iceland/
    Ric Werme Ric Werme
    Jun. 11, 2008 at 6:57am
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