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Science denial in the 21st century
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By Nathan Seppa

Web edition: April 24, 2012

MADISON, Wis. — The arc of science has faced roadblocks for centuries, but the pattern of denying the weight of evidence has taken on new virulence recently. Highly motivated people openly cast doubt on well-established evidence — the theory of evolution, the human effects on climate change, the value of vaccines and other findings that have achieved an overwhelming consensus in the scientific community.

Researchers and science writers tasked with reporting on these issues gathered April 23–24 at the University of Wisconsin at a meeting titled “Science Writing in the Age of Denial.” Some noted that seemingly spontaneous denial of science in the populace is quite often a carefully choreographed attack. 

Sean B. Carroll, an evolutionary biologist at UW–Madison, has traced similarities between an anti-polio vaccine movement by chiropractors in the 1950s and later attempts by others to deny evolution.

“There was a common playbook,” Carroll said. The deniers started by doubting the science, despite the evidence. They questioned the motives of researchers and cited gadfly “authorities” to give the impression of a disagreement among scientists. The doubters exaggerated potential harm, Carroll said, and appealed to personal freedom — such as the right to not get vaccinated.

Finally, he said, science denial embraced a viewpoint that “to accept the science would repudiate some key philosophy” of an individual or group. In the case of the polio vaccine, this would require the acceptance of the fact that a virus causes the disease, which chiropractic rejected. Same with evolution, Carroll said, which was framed as undermining biblical teachings.

Historian Naomi Oreskes of the University of California, San Diego has done similar investigations regarding climate change. Not long after potent evidence began to emerge in the 1980s and 1990s that global warming is happening and that human fingerprints are all over it, countervailing forces showed up to deny it, she said. “This emerged as a politically motivated campaign saying the science was unsettled and thus it was premature to act” to limit carbon dioxide emissions into the atmosphere, she said.

This strategy has worked in part because initial doubts, once seeded, can be difficult to overcome, said political scientist Arthur Lupia of the University of Michigan. “We have a tendency to discredit that with which we don’t believe,” he said.

Part of the strategy, Oreskes said, has been to demand “balance” from journalists, even when the scientific community is already in agreement. Researchers at the meeting generally acknowledged that more than 97 percent of climate scientists now agree that the data on climate change are legitimate in showing the human hand.

Even so, science writers run a risk of injecting false balance into stories, and should take care to avoid other pitfalls of language, said Cristine Russell who studies the media at Harvard University. “Saying someone ‘believes’ in climate change or evolution is the wrong way to characterize it,” she said. “It’s not a belief system. That suggests that the evidence is something that can be dismissed.”

Wilson da Silva, editor and cofounder of the Australian magazine Cosmos, said journalists have a responsibility to write about these issues unequivocally. “It is science that freed generations from the superstitions of the past,” he said. In the modern context, writers ought not be shy. “Science writers need to take an active role in challenging quackery,” he said.

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  • Religious zealots and slavers were in the vanguard of European immigration into North America in the seventeenth century. Since then, each successive American generation has had to live with the results.
    Ralph Dratman Ralph Dratman
    Apr. 25, 2012 at 10:04am
  • There really should be some balance, or at the very least a look at all the data. Take that 97% of the climate scientists, from a June 2010 PNAS study. What is left out is the replies were whittled down to 79 climatologists. The poll had two questions:

    1. When compared with pre-1800s levels, do you think that mean global temperatures have generally risen, fallen, or remained relatively constant?

    2. Do you think human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures?

    The more interesting issue about the poll is "Why wasn't it 100%?" Note that CO2 is not included - is there any doubt that turning forests into farm land warms the area? Or farms into cities?

    This poll has zero information, it is useful only to people who don't want "balance."
    Ric Werme Ric Werme
    May. 1, 2012 at 9:58am
  • If I don't 'believe' in evolution, what does Cristine Russell suggest I DO? Brush my teeth with it?
    (I hope that's not considered offensive. It's actually a serious question.)
    rocketmouse rocketmouse
    May. 1, 2012 at 9:58am
  • The problem is not that the media does not speak strongly enough about scientific "facts", the problem is that scientists are too willing to call statistical probabilities "facts" before they have been sufficiently tested. This occurs most in the medical sciences, but unfortunately the medical sciences receive a lot of media attention, and hence become prominently displayed for those who distrust the scientific process. And then you have people like Richard Dawkins and Lawrence Krausse, who deny the validity of the human transcendental experience, and thus create the impression that scientists in general deny religious faith as a valid cognitive trait. Of course, many scientists are believers, and also most just accept as part of the human condition that whether they agree or disagree, faith as a cognitive trait enables many people to live happy, productive lives. For example, astronauts uniformly believe in God, yet they operate the some of the most advanced technology on the planet and conduct scientific experiments without hesitation. Atheistic scientific rationalists, and the media who have come under their spell would do well to find a way to engage in a constructive dialogue with those of religious faith, rather than try to ram their own belief system doewn their throats.
    Doc C Doc C
    May. 1, 2012 at 9:58am
  • Science is mankind's attempt to understand reality, while religion attempts merely to explain it. Unfortunately, institutions from mass media to school systems portray each incremental improvement in our understanding through scientific inquiry - that is, testable, repeatable demonstration of cause and effect - as the "truth" or the final word, only to soon be revised as our understanding improves, once again. We must break this cycle before we can disentangle science and religion.
    Brian Machesney Brian Machesney
    May. 1, 2012 at 9:58am
  • Regarding the story "Science Denial in the 21st Century" in which some quoted sources said that scientists should speak for affirmatively about their positions and refrain from using the word "beleif" in their positions. No Cosmoligist can tell you for certain ANYTHING about the Creation of the Universe. In fact, no scientist can create anything. All any scientist can do is to reserach the underlaying pre-existing truths of nature. It would be the height of arrogance to state that any scientist knew for absolute certainty where, how, and why the universe came into being. The Same is true for ALL science. When a scientist uses the affirmative in their theories, they are attempting to refute challange. Often, challange comes from other scientists. Those writers who demand that scientists use the affirmative as the final answer to a question, not very scientific. Science is not the answer, but a search for the truth. Science is not the end but merely a means to an end. Ask scientists who examined the Shroud of Turin for the answers. And they will (and have) said that their scientific analysis has only led to more questions. Scientists should keep an open mind. Most resistance to science today is actually because some scientists can't take the 'challange'.
    Gary Grella Gary Grella
    May. 1, 2012 at 9:58am
  • This attitude has proved to be a slippery slope, and a gatekeeping justification. How many science writers have covered, e.g., the universal prediction of the climate models that as CO2 forces heat accumulation on the surface, less will escape by Infra-red to space -- yet satellites report the exact opposite: more surface warming leads to more IR leaving?

    It has major implications--but the wrong ones for supporters of the CO2 "forcing" story.
    Brian Hall Brian Hall
    May. 1, 2012 at 9:58am
  • What R. Dratman said. And the sad part is that some of these same individuals keep showing up here to cast doubt on both evolution and human caused climate change.

    Research into what and how people think has shown that evidence isn't going to change too many people's minds, especially when they aren't evidence oriented in the first place. That describes quite a few, maybe a majority, of Americans at this point in time.
    Daniel Miller Daniel Miller
    May. 1, 2012 at 9:58am
  • AGW theory has made a number of testable 'multi-model projections'. All have failed. Yet the "consensus" says, "Well, we still might be right, so it's necessary to mitigate the world into penury, just in case!"

    So, who's not "evidence oriented"?
    Brian Hall Brian Hall
    May. 2, 2012 at 9:48am
  • I think the thread is a case in point. Hot button terms in the denialosphere like "Models," "satellite measurements," etc are all well-tilled atmosphere as it were, and reported at sites such as realclimate. Too bad the only thing repeated is the misinformation. The challenge is to change that.
    Mark York Mark York
    May. 2, 2012 at 9:48am
  • Scientific research often leaves scientists with results that lack empirical proof as they are multi-faceted or unsolvable with the information currently available. Any publications of this nature can therefore project doubt and create denial which is fair game for bodies /persons to attack who have beliefs and motives contrary to these results. Creationism versus palaeontology /evolution is perhaps a good example. In the 21st century we (by route of the discoveries of SCIENTISTS) live in an age of mass, free and instant information, but one key stroke away. What better medium to use to create dissent, mistrust and doubt.
    The ignorance surrounding the scientific processes involved from the inception of a thought or an idea through to its logical conclusion needs to be understood by the populace at large before they will be able to formulate an informed opinion. In the meantime subversive elements will persist with their agendas.
    Robert  Buchanan Robert Buchanan
    May. 3, 2012 at 9:28am
  • Science is an understatement. The problem is that Atheist physist do not wish to be harmed in fron of a Religious public. This data has been censored from more than 100 years and has never been resolved and in my opinion, never will be regardless of the soothsayers. I made copies of physist writings who have conspired to try and find a way to deny the truth. How shameful is that. It's on the same scale as the event being discussed. They want to save face by doing another evil deed. Shameful action do not deserve discourse planned.
    Dave Stacey, retired discloser in plain language Sun Activity on the photosphere.
    doowop62 doowop62
    May. 4, 2012 at 9:19am
  • It is loved when the 17th Century is brought up. My great grandfather several generation ago fought in 1676 with Col. Bacon, in his Rebellion in Virginia. His great grandson, Aaron Stacy servedf 4 englistment and served under William Washington in NC. My 2nd great grandfather, Osborne Stacey Served with the 50 NC Infantry during the War Between the States. Some of my great grandfather's owned slaves, but I'm not a slaver. I am, however, the discloser of Faculae that or celestial humans, and spot spectra that are horses. It is way behind history for these element to come before the bright daylight from behind censorship. The agnostics hate this release because it disputes evolution and shows their infallible physics regiment is fallible.
    Dave Dennis Stacey, retired
    Glen Allen, VA
    doowop62 doowop62
    May. 8, 2012 at 9:29am
  • Mr. Seppa,

    You say that because, "...more than 97 percent of climate scientists now agree that the data on climate change are legitimate in showing the human hand.", therefor AGW is correct.
    Following that rationale, if 97% of a group of Theology PhDs believe in God, therefor God is real!
    I think you need to check your premises.

    MP
    Matt Person Matt Person
    May. 8, 2012 at 9:29am
  • From 1895/7 the correlation of temperature to CO2 was 0.43; to solar intensity, 0.57; to oceanic oscillations, 0.85. From 1987 to 2007 correlation of temperature to CO2 was 0.02.
    Bob White Bob White
    May. 10, 2012 at 9:24am
  • @daniel miller ... the question is how do we use evidence and reason to convince people who don't care about evidence and reason, that evidence and reason should be considered?
    john powers john powers
    May. 10, 2012 at 2:17pm
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