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News in Brief: Canada’s ice shrinking rapidly
Melt from Arctic Archipelago will raise sea levels by 35 millimeters
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Melt from Arctic Archipelago will raise sea levels by 35 millimeters

By Erin Wayman

Web edition: March 11, 2013

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THREATENED ICE
During the 21st century, glacial melt in the Canadian Arctic Archipelago (including Ellesmere Island, shown in a satellite view) could raise global sea level by 35 millimeters, a new study finds.
NASA

The glaciers of Canada’s Arctic islands are irreversibly melting, researchers warn.

Jan Lenaerts of Utrecht University in the Netherlands and colleagues simulated ice loss in the Canadian Arctic Archipelago throughout the 21st century as temperatures warm. By around 2100, the islands’ glaciers may shed 12.4 trillion tons of ice, or 18 percent of their current volume.

That melting would raise global sea level 3.5 centimeters, the team reports online March 7 in Geophysical Research Letters. After Greenland and Antarctica, the archipelago will be the world’s third-largest source of sea level rise caused by vanishing ice.

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J.T.M. Lenaerts et al. Irreversible mass loss of Canadian Arctic Archipelago glaciers. Geophysical Research Letters. doi:10.1002/grl.50214. [Go to]


D. Powell. Himalaya rush. Science News. Vol. 182, August 25, 2012, p. 18. Available online: [Go to]

J. Raloff. Modern-day sea level rise skyrocketing. Science News. Vol. 180, July 16, 2011, p. 13. Available online: [Go to]

E. Wayman. Shrinking polar ice caused one-fifth of sea level rise. Science News. Vol. 182, December 29, 2012, p. 10. Available online: [Go to]

Comments (8)

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  • Oh 1.5 inches that's really scary snicker.
    Vincent Wolf Vincent Wolf
    Mar. 11, 2013 at 3:53pm
  • if this keeps going on we will have to take action.
    kalieb watson kalieb watson
    Mar. 12, 2013 at 10:27am
  • Someday we're going to have to do something about that.
    Conrad Seitz Conrad Seitz
    Mar. 12, 2013 at 1:10pm
  • Nice that they use an obviously summer picture in a winter article.
    Daniel Suggs Daniel Suggs
    Mar. 14, 2013 at 9:27am
  • During the Eemian interglacial period, temperatures were roughly 5 to 8 degrees C higher than today, and the sea level was 4 to 8 meters higher than it is today. We are looking at reaching Eemian temperatures within the next century. The 3.5 cm sea-level rise from Canada's ice would have to be added to the rise from other sources, and net sea-level increases are expected to be in the range of 11 to 33 inches by 2100. (The melting won't stop then, but that will be the effect to that date.)

    I'm surprised to find such antipathy to science in the comments of a topical science website.
    Eric von Kleist Eric von Kleist
    Mar. 18, 2013 at 2:34pm
  • For a "scientific article," I find the use of the word "irreversible" inappropriate. We have no idea how many factors contribute to climate change or which direction it is going.
    Chris Dodds Chris Dodds
    Mar. 18, 2013 at 3:54pm
  • The problem with the article is that we are not warming. They assume warming, "Jan Lenaerts of Utrecht University in the Netherlands and colleagues simulated ice loss in the Canadian Arctic Archipelago throughout the 21st century as temperatures warm." The IPCC president acknowledged we have not warmed for 17 years just this month, and total arctic/antarctic sea ice is now 453 thousand km^ over the mean for 3-19-13(cryosphere today) and has been for weeks.

    As the article says, if we warm, then sea levels may rise by up to 3.5" cm from Canadian glacier melting.

    That's a prediction based on warming that is not occurring right now.

    Since the Sunspot cycle is replicating the behavior of
    sun spots during the Maunder Minimum back in the 17th century, the planet growing colder is a much stronger bet. We don't grow crops in ice. Many millions starved to death during the Maunder Minimum.

    CO2 is not a pollutant, it is a necessary input for growing vegetation. It is estimated that vegetation on the planet has increased by 15% from the rise from 270 in 1800 to 400 ppm of CO2 now. Optimal for plant growth is 1400 ppm of CO2.

    In short, warmer is better, shallow seas are the most biologically productive areas on the planet. Moving over water is easier than moving over ice. We can adapt to warmth, ice would be a total disaster.

    The last 800,000 years of ice core samples show that 80% plus of the time we were much colder, and that the planets temperature fluctuates rapidly up and mostly down.

    Unfortunately, all the latest data shows a high probability we are going to get colder. Lets pray I am wrong about that.

    In summary, the if we get warmer, sea levels will rise may be true, but they sure won't if Earth's temperature stays the same or we get colder, and colder ensures billions could die from starvation. Ergo, warmer better, colder bad.




    Alex Alter Alex Alter
    Mar. 20, 2013 at 2:55pm
  • How about analyzing whether added melting might increase atmospheric moisture and cloud cover, causing cooling?
    Judson Sanderson Judson Sanderson
    Mar. 25, 2013 at 9:49am
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