FOR KIDS: Stronger Strong Storms
New study looks at peak hurricane wind speeds
Web edition : Friday, September 26th, 2008
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Eye of the stormThe strongest North Atlantic hurricanes, such as 2005’s Wilma (seen in visible light at left and at right in a false color view that shows differences in the height of clouds), have been getting even stronger in recent years, scientists say.NASA, GSFC, LaRC, JPL, MISR Team

Hurricanes rank among the world’s strongest storms. With fierce winds and pouring rain, these massive squalls can cause major damage to homes, cities and lives.

And these strong storms may be getting even stronger, according to a new study. Over the past three decades, the peak wind speeds for hurricanes in some regions of the world have grown faster, says James P. Kossin, an atmospheric scientist at the University of Wisconsin–Madison.

Kossin and colleagues analyzed storm patterns dating back to the 1980s. For their study, they looked at images of more than 2,000 tropical cyclones worldwide. (Hurricanes are also known as tropical cyclones or typhoons, depending on where on the globe they occur). The images came from satellites orbiting Earth.

The researchers estimated the speed of each cyclone’s fastest winds. To do this, they looked at the temperature of the tallest clouds that formed within each storm. Previous research has shown that colder, higher clouds inside the storm indicate faster winds on the ground.

During the past 30 years, results showed, peak wind speeds for cyclones have picked up the most in the North Atlantic and eastern North Pacific oceans. In 2006, storm winds for the strongest cyclones in both regions blew, on average, 3 meters (10 feet) per second faster than they did in 1981.

Scientists suspect that global warming is responsible for the faster blasts of wind. In both the North Atlantic and eastern North Pacific, temperatures at the water’s surface have risen in recent years. And cyclones feed off of warm seas, especially when there’s a big temperature difference between the surface of the ocean and the upper atmosphere.

Global warming hasn’t increased the number of hurricanes occurring each year. But the storms are getting stronger, say Kossin and other researchers whose studies suggest similar conclusions.

Some experts, however, disagree. One reason is that hurricanes follow cycles that last for decades. By looking at just a short window of time, critics say, the study authors may have read too much into this natural variation.


Found in: Science News For Kids
Comments 3
  • Back to the 80s? The main cycle the article refers to is the Atlantic Multidecal Cycle, now in a warm phase since the mid 1990s. That's when the recent surge in Atlantic hurricane activity started. For the rest of the period, we were in a cold phase and fewer hurricanes formed. Before that, the period from the late 1930s to mid 1950s were another active period.
    Ric Werme Ric Werme
    Sep. 30, 2008 at 8:27pm
  • When you go out on the limb of bad effects from global warming be careful--you might see it get cut off. Quite simply, the thesis proposed is eminently checkable--and SHOULD BE. Hurricanes leave very visible deposits which, here in Colorado, we find from storms that occurred in the Mesozoic. You don't have to look that far back. 150,000 years ago it was noticeable warmer than it is today (we know from O18 ratios), SO, let them go to the gulf coast deposits and find the deposits left by the monsters in their hypotheses--they aren't there. The reason being that warmer air increases shear, and shear kills hurricanes. By the way if the ice caps are about to melt, then they certainly melted 150,000 years ago--polar bears did NOT go extinct.
    Stan Kerns
    Stanley Kerns Stanley Kerns
    Sep. 30, 2008 at 1:23pm
  • Ever noticed the percussion of a semi passing you on the frwy? Ever notice how the trees along the freeway blow and pitch from the speed of the traffic going by? For many years I've wondered what happens to that form of energy directly transferred from the truck & automobile's motion to the atmosphere. If a butterfly's flight can create some faraway consequence in the atmosphere, our high speeds through the medium must be leaving some larger sequelae. and that doesn't even consider the direct output of heat.
    Rollie
    Carolyn Lawson Carolyn Lawson
    Sep. 29, 2008 at 12:07pm
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  • Perkins, Sid. 2008. "Mighty hurricanes get mightier." sciencenews.org, Sept. 3, 2008. Story available at [Go to]
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