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Getting to the core of H1N1 flu deaths
Fatalities show lungs are overwhelmed; antiviral drugs, ventilation to replace lost oxygen can rescue patients
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Lung inflammation and respiratory failure are largely responsible for the fatal cases of H1N1 (swine) flu seen so far, three new studies show. The findings also confirm observations that the influenza hits young adults the hardest but can be fought off in many cases with the use of antiviral flu drugs and a mechanical ventilator to aid breathing.

The new studies offer the first large-scale analyses of how the H1N1 flu causes life-threatening illness. All three reports find a consistent pattern of oxygen deprivation in the blood of critically ill patients, a dangerous condition that in the worst-case scenario leads to shock, organ failure and death, the researchers report online October 12 in the Journal of the American Medical Association. The studies were conducted between early March and late August in Canada, Mexico and Australia and New Zealand.

“The data suggests it starts as a diffuse viral pneumonia,” says physician Anand Kumar of the University of Manitoba in Winnipeg, who coauthored the Canadian study. By the time a person becomes critically ill, he says, it’s no longer clear whether it’s still pneumonia or has developed into a more severe respiratory distress syndrome.

In such severely ill patients, H1N1 causes massive inflammation in the lungs, which leads to fluid build-up in airways and lung tissues and even bleeding in lung tissues, says physician and epidemiologist Robert Fowler of the University of Toronto, who coauthored the studies in Canada and Mexico. These changes hamper the transfer of oxygen from inhaled air to the blood stream.

“Most patients are still able to take breaths, but these breaths are ineffective,” he says. Blood pressure can crash, disrupting circulation. While oxygen deprivation can cause widespread damage, “the lungs are the organs most visibly affected,” Fowler says.

In the largest of the three studies, Fowler and a team of scientists in Canada monitored the course of 168 patients deemed critically ill with H1N1 flu. Although the patients averaged only 32 years of age and received intensive-care-unit treatment, 17 percent died.

Doctors in the study conducted in Australia and New Zealand identified 68 patients critically ill with flu symptoms, most of whom were eventually confirmed to have H1N1. Despite having a median age of 34 years, their fatality rate was 21 percent. Six of the survivors were still in intensive care units when the data were reported.

In the study done in Mexico, scientists examined the records of 58 critically ill H1N1 patients who had a median age of 44 years, finding a fatality rate of 41 percent.

The vast majority of patients in the studies in Canada and Mexico received mechanical ventilation, which typically lasted 10 to 12 days. But the respiratory crash occurred too rapidly in some patients for ventilation to help. In Mexico, for example, four patients died before healthcare workers could get them into an intensive care unit. In Australia and New Zealand, doctors used a treatment called extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, in which blood is extracted from each patient and passed through a machine that adds oxygen. The blood is then returned to the patient.

Many patients in all three regions were also given the flu medication oseltamivir phosphate (Tamiflu), with apparent benefit. In the Mexican analysis, critically ill patients who survived were seven times more likely to have received the drug than those who died.

All three groups of critically ill patients included very few people over the age of 60 and few young children. The numbers support a widespread hypothesis that older people carry some residual immunity against H1N1 flu, Fowler says. The new data don't explain why very young children were underrepresented in these critically ill groups.

On the other hand, the data fail to explain why people in the prime of life would be most susceptible to the lethal effects of H1N1, a trend eerily reminiscent of the 1918 flu pandemic, which was also caused by an H1N1 strain.

But the studies do provide much-needed empirical knowledge about the H1N1 flu, physicians Douglas White and Derek Angus of the University of Pittsburgh note in an editorial also released by JAMA.  “It is remarkable to have any data so early in the course of the influenza pandemic, let alone the systematically collected data present in these reports,” they observe. “These studies provide important signals about what clinicians and hospitals may confront in the coming months.”

Fowler adds: “These papers teach us that in the subset of patients with critical illness due to H1N1, the patients can deteriorate very quickly,” he says. “But with early recognition of the disease, prompt treatment and capacity for aggressive life-support and rescue therapies for oxygenation failure, mortality can be limited.”
Found in: Biomedicine

Comments 12
  • Has it occurred to any other animal on this planet, that H1N1 is a biological defense weapon against that locust species, Homo Sapiens? Who is encroaching on whose territory, may I ask? It’s not The Birds who are marching across the face of this planet like The Blob, gobbling up every other animal’s territory, and annihilating all local life forms in order to populate it with Humanity Only, is it? Isn’t it biologically fitting that animals who have been choking their ecosystem with CO2 should themselves be killed off by oxygen deprivation? The root cause of epidemics is an animal overpopulation that stresses an ecosystem. H1N1 attacks Reproductive Adults because Overpopulation is the ecological problem trying to be remedied. The preventive for swine flu is Free Condoms for ALL Reproductive Adults. And any one who can reproduce should be treated like an adult, and have access to Free Condoms, because they biologically are adults. If our culture has failed to prepare young adults for that biological fact, the culture must change, because the fact is not going to. Free Condoms For All, and for the sake of All, for the sake of our whole ecosystem.
    MJ Stephens
    MJ Stephens MJ Stephens
    Oct. 13, 2009 at 12:16pm
  • MJ, Thanks for saying what a lot of us are thinking.
    LuckyL LuckyL
    Oct. 13, 2009 at 12:31pm
  • LuckyL and MJ, funny I wasn't thinking that. Personally, I don't see humans as "locusts." I always note that the greatest monsters in human history have started out by dehumanizing their fellow humans. I also note that those who spend so much time anguishing over population concerns never seem to apply the solution to themselves that they would like to see applied to the rest of us. come on guys, don't be hypocrites. Lead by example !

    Ken
    [Link was removed]
    Ken Steen Ken Steen
    Oct. 14, 2009 at 3:16am
  • I sure wasn't thinking that stuff either. H1N1 is not some conscious entity with a desire to act on behalf of a spherical glob of gravitationally-collected matter orbiting our local star.

    I am all in favor of condom use, but they are well within anyone's price range and there is no reason to establish any kind of "free" condom program. If you can't afford a condom, how the hell will you pay for flowers and hotel rooms?
    Carl P Carl P
    Oct. 14, 2009 at 6:51pm
  • Hey, People, What's That Sound? ...Nope - just another crackpot. Verry hinterhestink.

    Roberto
    Robert Alderman Robert Alderman
    Oct. 15, 2009 at 8:18am
  • Ken, You are an animal, subject to all the rules of being an animal, including the ecological effects of overpopulation. Pointing out that you are an animal in a single planetary ecosystem is not dehumanizing, it is a scientific fact that you seem to want to deny. I am an animal and proud of it. We are both products of, and parasites on, this single ecosystem Earth host. It is a misunderstanding of our ancestors that our ecosystem is a family with a fatherly head. It is not.

    We are guests in this ecosystem hotel, we have abused our stay. We do not share the common resources fairly with the rest of the life forms in our ecosystem. Why is it dehumanizing to suggest that we should more fairly share this ecosystem with the other life forms on this planet? Narcissism is what is dehumanizing. And thinking that this existence is all about the care, feeding and reproductive success of just your own species is the most dehumanizing, as well as myopic, stance of all.

    Free Condoms For All makes birth management completely voluntary, doesn’t it? I am not calling for any one to be sterilized. I am asking that every one be given an opportunity that we in our American ignorance and arrogance think every one already has, which they don’t.

    Carl, Condoms may be cheap and readily available for a middle class, adult man in America. But there is a great, big planet out there, with other people on it, with whom you are sharing a single planetary ecosystem. Condoms are not cheap and ready available in Africa where the greatest population growth is. Condoms are not cheap and readily available in Pakistan. For cultural reasons, condoms are not even readily available to reproductive young adults in America. Or haven’t you seen Sara Palin’s grandson?

    I am sorry that most people, due to the human habit of anthropomorphizing every thing, including our ecosystem, think that I meant that H1N1 is thinking about us. The point is we are animals in an ecosystem. We live like animals. We die like animals. We will go extinct like animals. And if we overpopulate, our ecosystem is going to come back and bite us, as many way as it can, including H1N1, just like it does locust.

    Robert, if it is crackpot to think we are a parasitic animal in a single planetary ecosystem host, that is more sane than thinking we can trash this planet without suffering any blowback, because we are really little alien gods fallen to earth, and some fairy tale prince charming god is going to come save us from ourselves because we are his best friend. Is that your alternative world view to being parasitic animals on a single ecosystem host planet?
    MJ Stephens MJ Stephens
    Oct. 15, 2009 at 12:49pm
  • If we are animals, and we are, why do you insist that we are the "guests" who don't belong here?

    And yes, they have condoms in Alaska. The price was not the problem.
    Carl P Carl P
    Oct. 16, 2009 at 1:30pm
  • The price is not the problem. Our Puritanical, Smug culture is the problem. Because the sound Robert heard was minds, eyes and hearts slamming shut to some unpalatable scientific facts, and to the crackpot idea that we share our exorbitant wealth with others.

    We are animals. We are products of, parasites on, and participants in one single planetary ecosystem, in which little changes have big effects. That’s science. For 70,000 years there were less than one billion Homo Sapiens on this planet. We have added one billion people in the last 12 years. That fact alone, let alone the 4 billion people added in the last hundred years, should give us a clue that adding 5 (going on 6) Billion people in 100 plus years is a BIG, sudden and violent change to our planetary ecosystem?

    The United Nations said today that One BILLION People are going hungry. Don’t you think it is time for America, and the rest of world, to stop being cruel and puritanical? Shouldn’t all Food Aid be accompanied by Free Condoms? Or do we expect adults in Darfur to skip 1,000 miles across the a blazing desert to the nearest drugstore to buy a condom, before the hotel and roses? I am truly sorry that more of you haven’t had the experience of actually suffering from hunger. Because then you would know that, at least for a little while, sex quells hunger pangs. I guess it is too much to ask of us. Americans couldn’t possibly do other adults the kindness of not punishing them for starving by freely providing them with the protection, that is cheap and readily available to us, that would allow them an unburdened moment of joy in their joyless world.

    I am advocating that America change it’s cruel and insulting policy of not funding the most basic and voluntary kind of birth management, condoms, not because I think it will save us from extinction. I, and the ecosystem I rode in on, are already extinct. Because our ecosystem has been flooded with 6 Billion people worth of agricultural, industrial, consumerist, and medicinal chemicals, including the radio active. That was not the ecosystem I was evolved in, or was born into. I am not advocating Free Condoms for All to save a world that is already gone. I am advocating Free Condoms for All in order to mitigate future human suffering. Because here’s some more unpalatable scientific facts.

    Global Warming is not a synonym for Climate Change. Global Warming is instead one phase in our epoch’s pattern of Climate Change. This pattern has three phases. Phase One is Global Warming, for a ballpark 10,000 years. Then a Transition Event occurs, for instance, melting sea ice stops the Gulf Stream flowing in the North Atlantic. This event initiates Phase Two, a Planetary Glaciation, the forming of Glaciers, which takes ballpark 20 years. Once the Glaciers are established, then a Phase Three Glacial Period, an Ice Age, begins, lasting ballpark 100,000 years. Then a new Transition Event leads back to Phase One and 10,000 years of Global Warming.

    We have used up Phase One’s 10,000 years and hastened the arrival of the Transition Event by pumping heat enhancing CO2 into the atmosphere. In the next 5 to 50 years the Transition Event will take place, melting sea ice will stop the Gulf Stream, followed by the ballpark 20 years of Phase Two Glaciation. The worse case scenario for Glaciation is a Snowball Earth, Glaciers cover the Planet. This has happened before. We have put more extreme weather making CO2 into our atmosphere then this planet has seen in the last 800,000 years, possibly the highest in 20 million years, so we can expect very severe Glaciation Blowback.

    I am advocating Free Condoms for all now, so that there will be fewer to suffer later the havoc of Glaciation. Sustainability, like any desire for permanence, is a delusional goal. The Lesson of Science is: Every Thing Changes, All The Time. Sustainability is not an option, it is a scientific impossibility. Adaptability is the only sane goal in an ever changing existence.

    We may want it to be some other way. It’s not.
    MJ Stephens MJ Stephens
    Oct. 16, 2009 at 4:29pm
  • Throughout most of human history humans have been severely overcrowded and overpopulated, yet somehow we have muddled through. If everybody was a vegan like me there would be enough cultivated land and water for at least 50 billion of us.

    Scientifically, swine flu, SARS, H5N1, H7N7, MRSA, ect... are the direct result of factory farming of pigs and chickens. Factory farming is a direct mortal threat to humankind; it has already killed thousands.
    [Link was removed] see chapter 13
    inveganatheist inveganatheist
    Oct. 17, 2009 at 5:11am
  • As far as humans overcrowding and H1N1 being the population control is a bunch of superstitious nonsense. H1N1 is just another flu strain that has evolved to resist our current vaccine. That is why we have to make another batch of vaccines to prevent an epidemic. Humans have as much right to be on this planet as any other species we just happened to evolve a brain capable of knowing what the consequences of our short term stay on this planet will be. In order to survive we must get rid of the old superstitious beliefs and work as one to better the planet for all species.
    Carl Hancock Carl Hancock
    Oct. 18, 2009 at 6:56am
  • What vile nonsense MJ spouts!

    Often I think that we are headed into a new version of the middle ages, dominated by the new religion/UN Theocracy, the global warmer Marxist eco nuts. We were far better off in decades past, when legitimate religion provided a marketplace for all this invented guilt.

    When will we rediscover the dignity of mankind?
    When will we separate politics from science?
    When will scientists once again be trained to think objectively?

    Our modern problems are few in number and eminently solvable.
    Jerry Malone Jerry Malone
    Oct. 18, 2009 at 11:37am
  • If you are thinking of getting a flu shot to head off the h1n1 virus, go ahead, but be advised that there are some h1n1 vaccine risks. A Guillain Barre Syndrome is an autoimmune disorder affecting the peripheral nervous system, usually triggered by an acute infectious process; it can deteriorate the lining of nerve cells, a serious auto immune condition. The odds of contracting GBS are about a million to one with the h1n1 vaccine. There are h1n1 vaccine risks as there are risks to any vaccinations, but it still is worth same day loans [Link was removed] to immunize those at high risk.
    Brooke Bruke Brooke Bruke
    Oct. 19, 2009 at 4:44am
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Citations & References :
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  • Kumar, A., et al. In press. Critically ill patients with 2009 influenza A(H1N1) infection in Canada. Journal of the American Medical Association. (doi:10.1001/jama.2009.1496).

  • The Australia and New Zealand Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (ANZ ECMO) Influenza Investigators. 2009. Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for 2009 influenza A(H1N1) acute respiratory distress syndrome. Journal of the American Medical Association. (doi:10.1001/jama.2009.1535).

  • Dominguez-Cherit, G., et al. In press. Critically ill patients with 2009 influenza A(H1N1) in Mexico. Journal of the American Medical Association. (doi:10.1001/jama.2009.1536).
  • White, D.B., and D.C. Angus. In press. Preparing for the sickest patients with 2009 influenza A(H1N1). Journal of the American Medical Association.
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