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Shaky Forecasts

Despite past failures, geophysicists think earthquake prediction might yet be possible

Jeff McGuire says he does not want to be known as the guy who predicts earthquakes. But in September 2008, a magnitude 6.0 quake shook the bottom of the ocean at a fault along the East Pacific Rise — within 10 kilometers from where and within the year-and-a-half window that McGuire and his colleagues had predicted.

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