North America’s fox squirrel, the venomous striped eel catfish (SN: 4/29/17, p. 28) and 64 other species are now considered invasive threats to existing species in the European Union, scientists report online on December 12 in Global Change Biology. Emphasis on the word ‘threat.’ None of these organisms have been found yet in the EU, except for in captivity.
The goal in listing and evaluating invasive threats is to prevent these species from ever crossing EU borders and establishing themselves, says coauthor Helen Roy, an ecologist at the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology in Wallingford, England. Roy and colleagues whittled a European watch list of 329 invasive species down to 66 using a technique called “horizon scanning.” Experts scored the likelihood of each creature arriving in the EU within the next decade, establishing itself, spreading and changing local ecosystems. This effort is the first time horizon scanning has been used on a continental scale to account for so many taxonomic groups.
The eight most worrying species include East Asia’s voracious northern snakehead, a fish that has wreaked havoc in U.S. waters since the early 2000s (SN Online: 7/8/14). Also on the “very high risk” list to biodiversity are the aggressive rusty crayfish, a species native to the Ohio River that can spread fungus or diseases harmful to local species, and Asia’s golden mussels, prone to accumulating on native plants and clogging pipes.
Many of the most worrying species are expected to invade EU territory within 10 years and out-compete native species. If the invasions occur, it will likely be due to human activities. Species could stowaway aboard an airplane or ship or could escape from confinement from a zoo or research lab.