Simulation forecasts 70 percent ice loss by end of century, adding to sea level rise
The Great White North may lose its glaciers faster than previously thought. A detailed physics simulation of how glaciers melt in a warming world show that Western Canada’s glaciers will shed 70 percent of their ice by 2100 relative to their 2005 volumes, researchers report online April 6 in Nature Geoscience. That level of melt would raise global sea levels by roughly 4.4 millimeters and reshape the region’s landscape.
Western Canadian glaciers cover 26,700 square kilometers, an area larger than Vermont. Each glacier melts differently than its siblings depending on its shape and location. Most previous projections ignore or greatly simplify the ice-melt physics that makes each glacier’s fate unique. Glaciologist Garry Clarkeof the University of British Columbia in Vancouver and colleagues instead created a highly detailed 3-D simulation of how different glaciers melt. The team’s